Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.029082 0.033577 0.038549 0.044460 0.051299 0.058968 0.068229
2026-02-08 0.021774 0.027616 0.034717 0.043995 0.055818 0.070410 0.089834
2026-02-15 0.017422 0.023732 0.031970 0.043540 0.059417 0.080510 0.110781
2026-02-22 0.014871 0.021474 0.030616 0.044241 0.064112 0.092165 0.135018
2026-03-01 0.012746 0.019348 0.028961 0.044035 0.067204 0.101678 0.157256
2026-03-08 0.010870 0.017245 0.026947 0.042864 0.068494 0.108449 0.176037
2026-03-15 0.009356 0.015446 0.025095 0.041586 0.069288 0.114342 0.193975
2026-03-22 0.008501 0.014565 0.024540 0.042251 0.073202 0.125581 0.222050
2026-03-29 0.007701 0.013658 0.023801 0.042464 0.076302 0.135729 0.249474
2026-04-05 0.006997 0.012816 0.023054 0.042531 0.079091 0.145581 0.277552
2026-04-12 0.006451 0.012183 0.022586 0.043015 0.082648 0.157166 0.310296
2026-04-19 0.006043 0.011753 0.022425 0.044031 0.087297 0.171286 0.349737
2026-04-26 0.005380 0.010763 0.021117 0.042707 0.087289 0.176564 0.372508
2026-05-03 0.004912 0.010103 0.020372 0.042412 0.089318 0.186157 0.405610
2026-05-10 0.004487 0.009479 0.019621 0.042005 0.091043 0.195303 0.438977
2026-05-17 0.004215 0.009136 0.019404 0.042687 0.095162 0.209990 0.486599
2026-05-24 0.003892 0.008647 0.018818 0.042490 0.097305 0.220597 0.526324
2026-05-31 0.003527 0.008022 0.017870 0.041361 0.097181 0.226075 0.554667
2026-06-07 0.003194 0.007431 0.016928 0.040129 0.096657 0.230541 0.581137
2026-06-14 0.003027 0.007206 0.016789 0.040770 0.100683 0.246265 0.637943
2026-06-21 0.002846 0.006924 0.016486 0.040975 0.103662 0.259800 0.691030
2026-06-28 0.002671 0.006638 0.016144 0.041040 0.106293 0.272787 0.744513
2026-07-05 0.002534 0.006431 0.015968 0.041506 0.110016 0.289021 0.809145